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Registered office: Polo Managing Agency, registered in England & Wales Registration no. 03935227
www.polo.works
A.
Insurance risk
Underwriting and pricing for inwards legacy reinsurance contracts is on a case by case basis and is the
responsibility of the Marco Group, which provides the
Syndicate’s
capital. This, together with the run-off nature
of the business mean that the Syndicate is primarily exposed to:
•
the uncertainty of the reporting and quantification of claim payments in respect of losses that have
already occurred (Reserving Risk); as opposed to
•
the additional uncertainty of losses that might arise due to as yet unknown future events, as would be
the case for a traditional syndicate writing live risks (Underwriting Risk).
The insurance risk the Syndicate is exposed and can be separated into underwriting risk and reserve risk.
Underwriting risk
The managing agent is responsible for approving all inwards legacy reinsurance contracts, including that
sufficient and effective due diligence has been undertaken on behalf of the Syndicate before approving any
transactions. The Underwriting function is responsible for the day-to-day operational aspects of managing the
Syndicate’s portfolio, including any reinsurance arrangements, should these be deemed necessary.
Reserve Risk
Reserving risk is the risk of exposure to the financial consequences of material uncertainty in ultimate claim
payments and expenses.
Management of insurance risk
This risk is mitigated by the Syndicate's Actuarial function using external expertise and recognised actuarial
reserving approaches, coupled with close liaison with claims personnel to identify potential downside risks
before they become apparent in the data. These results are then subject to formal annual external peer review,
the result of which is an independent third party Statement of Actuarial Opinion, over the held reserves being at
least as high as a mean best estimate by year of account. The Statement is provided annually to Lloyd’s.
The governance process supporting Syndicate reserving is applied through a reserving committee, reporting to
the Audit Committee, which is responsible for approving Syndicate reserves quarterly, as delegated by the PMA
Board. The level of booked reserves is subject to an external audit annually.
Management of insurance risk (continued)
Claim estimates for 2022 Year of Account are sensitive to the actual rate of claims development and inflation. If
the Syndicate's rate of claim development is faster than the market, standard methods would overestimate
future claims. Conversely, if the Syndicate's rate of claim development is slower than the market, standard
methods would underestimate future claims. The Syndicate's portfolio consists of inwards reinsurance policies
which generally develop more slowly than direct policies due to reporting delays. Types of inflation that can
affect claim costs include wage inflation, cost of materials, medical inflation, and social inflation. Current
economic inflation is starting to slow down following the high levels in 2023 and 2024, therefore claim inflation
could be higher than the rate implicit captured by claim development patterns. The Syndicate has reviewed the
delay to the market development patterns including inflation to allow for this effect.
Claims estimates for settled and potential PPOs, for the 2023 Year of Account, are sensitive to inherent
uncertainty due to changes in:
•
the estimates of future inflation, specifically the wage inflation indices such as ASHE, that are used to
index future PPO payments;
•
the estimates of the future life expectancy of claimants; and
•
the estimates of the propensity of open claims to settle as a PPO, as opposed to a lump sum.
Changes to the discount rate, used to discount future claim payments, will also generate volatility in reserves,
which is mitigated by holding assets with a similar duration to the liabilities.
The risk of future inflation is partially mitigated by the fact that deductibles on inward claims are also indexed
for inflation. Finally, the gross insurance risk is mitigated by outwards reinsurance.
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